Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 7.069683 7.988183 8.996186 10.187021 11.558620 13.092633 14.943431
2024-12-22 5.688263 6.882253 8.297423 10.108042 12.376710 15.143041 18.798641
2024-12-29 5.041274 6.430002 8.177532 10.558940 13.751804 17.930203 23.887206
2025-01-05 4.418051 5.874806 7.797235 10.553445 14.458663 19.877037 28.110863
2025-01-12 3.918817 5.395936 7.424875 10.462266 14.975358 21.564188 32.156949
2025-01-19 3.363742 4.764325 6.751828 9.834639 14.599185 21.857895 34.097953
2025-01-26 3.092576 4.502225 6.567230 9.884087 15.214685 23.689864 38.688808
2025-02-02 2.935610 4.387448 6.580197 10.223309 16.305838 26.391558 45.120458
2025-02-09 2.766378 4.233657 6.511854 10.415456 17.165480 28.802787 51.409680
2025-02-16 2.606337 4.076727 6.418849 10.548789 17.928782 31.129385 57.900777
2025-02-23 2.460923 3.928436 6.322557 10.659836 18.655681 33.470050 64.787873
2025-03-02 2.266563 3.681588 6.037831 10.406976 18.681994 34.491502 69.156908
2025-03-09 2.119746 3.506595 5.866325 10.351234 19.093668 36.355880 75.734672
2025-03-16 1.978240 3.329214 5.675186 10.239483 19.384437 38.022176 82.200766
2025-03-23 1.933048 3.316798 5.775665 10.688626 20.846552 42.318239 95.536868
2025-03-30 1.827726 3.187095 5.649555 10.680914 21.363748 44.657450 104.648366
2025-04-06 1.721036 3.046182 5.489861 10.587952 21.685367 46.602392 113.156754
2025-04-13 1.557230 2.786744 5.084149 9.951721 20.745777 45.519494 113.536873
2025-04-20 1.488614 2.702657 5.010785 10.001801 21.345126 48.152123 124.520376
2025-04-27 1.457644 2.688345 5.072816 10.345582 22.658861 52.718798 141.971098
2025-05-04 1.412386 2.642441 5.067200 10.540324 23.645645 56.619469 158.395314
2025-05-11 1.364032 2.586693 5.036594 10.675461 24.504560 60.323557 175.116880
2025-05-18 1.316667 2.529443 4.998032 10.788013 25.321215 64.045196 192.827648